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Analysis: Why is Russia attacking Georgia?



Source: by HALIFAX, http://mm2001.forumco.com

Introduction

If Russia and China form a blockus given that the Russian Oil produced is consumed by both Russia-China only, this would entirely lock out access to what is now the largest Oil producer in the world.

Furthermore, to protect itself, Russia is trying to block the proposed pipeline and shipping route from the Caspian Sea to Western Europe to preserve those region's Oil for its sole use. Western Europe only has Norway left as one of the top Oil producers in the world, and the EU generally speaking, does not produce enough Oil to cover domestic needs.

So where does this lead to?

A huge battle ground over Oil escalating further unless there is a major paradigm shift in global energy sources. And of course the result of this battle over Oil has pushed the price up, up and up. We are a now few months down the track and the equation for Georgia is very simple:

U.S. Allies + Oil = Another conflict over control of Oil between the U.S. & Russia with soon the involvement of China. This might on the long run, lead to World War III if Russia decides to invade all Europe and take control of all Oil supplies.


Moreover, Georgia is extremely vital from a U.S. point of view as it has a central involvement in the source of Oil pipeline. In fact, Azerbaijan has just halted oil exports via the Georgian pipeline of Batumi and Kulevi due to clashes between Russia and Georgia, the head of the state oil company said Saturday. In recent years Georgia has become an important transport route for oil from Azerbaijan and other Caspian Sea oil producers, allowing Western oil firms to bypass Russia's oil pipelines.

This current conflict if it escalates, will be enough to reverse the recent retracement in the price of Oil, and send it to new records (that is $200 ++). The incoming weeks will be critical and decisive on what is to come. Indeed, a peaceful Russian-Georgian resolution will get things back together. However, any prolonged conflict will be a disaster as the price of Oil will skyrocket. Russia and China will place an enormous pressure on the already struggling U.S. economy to bring it down to its knees.

Conclusion


Finally, if Iran provokes a war with Israel anytime soon adding up to the severity of the current Russian-Georgian conflict, then the Oil price will react accordingly. Such high oil prices might provoke and soar the food prices worldwide and provoke famine. We are at a major and very crucial pivotal point in history, and any major interruption in oil will now have a very huge consequence for the U.S. Its very important to mention that Russia and China have planned this War and Oil block for a long time. They have planned to take control of the major Oil supplies worldwide and at the same time cause a huge shortage in Western supply routes, as in Georgia and Iran, in conjunction with has already been put in place by these two, we are in serious trouble and perhaps heading towards Armageddon.



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